Two very interesting and distinct perspectives from two of the internet's biggest online publishing players came to light yesterday. First of all Chris Anderson at Wired published this interesting look at how the usage of the Web is in decline with more and more people using apps instead of the internet. He has a lot of interesting things to say about the demise of the Web, including this about how the internet works today.
"It’s driven primarily by the rise of the iPhone model of mobile computing, and it’s a world Google can’t crawl, one where HTML doesn’t rule. And it’s the world that consumers are increasingly choosing, not because they’re rejecting the idea of the Web but because these dedicated platforms often just work better or fit better into their lives (the screen comes to them, they don’t have to go to the screen)."He backs up this with lots of interesting graphs and statistics. Rob Beschizza over at Boing Boing was having none of it. Again, lots of interesting (but contrary) things to say about the way in which Mr Anderson used his statistics (and you know what they say about them). He highlights that..
"In fact, between 1995 and 2006, the total amount of web traffic went from about 10 terabytes a month to 1,000,000 terabytes (or 1 exabyte). According to Cisco, the same source Wired used for its projections, total internet traffic rose then from about 1 exabyte to 7 exabytes between 2005 and 2010."Nothing like a good old blog battle, especially if it is between the big boys. Take a look at both articles and decide which is the more accurate. Forecasting is fine in many ways, but with new technologies it is very difficult to foresee what is going to happen in say ten years (or even two to three for that matter). In fact if it wasn't for the throwaway add on that texting on mobile phones was originally, the world of apps would not have existed in the first place. So, accidents can happen and who can say for sure what a few years will bring? Two very interesting an different standpoints, however.
Incidentally, do not leave the articles without reading the comments that have been generated by these conflicting points of view - they are just as interesting and entertaining as the articles.